AI zai tsawaita tsawon rayuwa zuwa shekaru 150, in ji shugaban Anthropic

Manyan jaridu suna mu alƙawarin samun matasa har abada ta hanyar fasahar AI (Hankalin Na'ura). Amma shin haka ne a zahiri? A watan Oktoba 2024, shugaban Anthropic, Dario Amodei, ya buga wani babban rubutu mai suna Machines of Loving Grace, inda ya yi hasashen cewa mai iko AI zai iya hanzarta ci gaban ilimin halittu da likitance har zuwa matakin da za a iya cimma nasarar shekaru 50 zuwa 100 a cikin shekaru 5 zuwa 10 kawai.

Daga cikin sakamakon da zai iya faruwa daga irin wannan tsalle, ya ce tsawon rayuwar ɗan adam zai iya kaiwa kusan shekaru 150. Daga baya, a watan Janairu 2025 a Taron Tattalin Arziki na Duniya (WEF) a Davos, Amodei ya sake maimaita wannan ra'ayi, yana mai da hankali musamman kan gajarta lokutan bincike. Yana da mahimmanci a fahimci: wannan ba sanarwa ce game da nasarar likitance da aka riga aka cimma ba. Hasashe ne na gaba, wanda marubucin kansa yake kira da shi hasashe.

Yadda AI zai "matsa" karni zuwa shekaru goma

Logik din Amodei ya ginu ne akan cewa yawancin matsalolin likitance suna nan ba tare da warwarewa ba ne saboda rashin ilimi, amma saboda wahalar sarrafa tarin bayanai masu yawa da rabuwa. Bisa ga kimantawarsa, AI na iya taimaka wa masu bincike a fagage da yawa:

• Gano alamomin tsufa (biomarkers). AI zai taimaka wajen gano alamomin da ake iya aunawa da sauri, waɗanda ke hasashen yanayin jiki da kuma yadda zai amsa ga magani.
• Kirar tsarin halittu. Kamar yadda AlphaFold ya kawo juyi a hasashen tsarin sunadaran (proteins), sabbin tsare-tsare za su iya yin kwaikwayon aikin dukkan kwayoyin halitta.
• Hanzarta binciken magunguna. Algorithms za su iya tace kwayoyin halitta marasa nasara a matakin farko cikin inganci, suna rage yawan gwaje-gwajen da suka gaza kuma suna da tsada.

Amodei ya yi nuni da wani abin tarihi: a karni na 20, matsakaicin tsawon rayuwa a duniya ya karu daga kusan shekaru 40 zuwa 75. Ya yi jayayya cewa nasarorin karni na gaba na iya kawo karin karuwa iri ɗaya, idan AI ya kawar da manyan cikas na yanzu a saurin bincike.

Abin da kimiyya ke cewa: tazarar da ke tsakanin hasashe da gaskiya

Duk da kuzarin shugabannin fasaha, al'ummar kimiyya suna kallon waɗannan lokutan da babban shakku. Ga dalilan:

1. Matsalar bayanai. Kamar yadda Reuters ya lura a watan Oktoba 2026, AI yana buƙatar ingantattun bayanan halittu don ƙirƙirar tsare-tsare masu inganci na tsarin rayuwa. Kwaikwayon kwayar halitta ta kwamfuta har yanzu tana da nisa da gaskiyar halitta.

2. Iyakokin gwaje-gwajen asibiti. Kwayar halitta da ke aiki sosai a cikin code na iya zama mai guba ga jikin ɗan adam. Wani bincike na watan Agusta 2026 a cikin Nature Reviews Drug Discovery ya jaddada cewa yawancin ayyukan AI a cikin magunguna har yanzu suna matakin gwaji kafin asibiti. Babu isasshen shaida kan tasirin AI a sakamakon asibiti na gaskiya.

3. Berayen ba mutane bane. Amodei ya ambaci gwaje-gwaje inda wasu magunguna suka ƙara tsawon rayuwar berayen gwaji da kashi 25-50%. Duk da haka, nasara a kan dabbobi ba ta ba da garantin sakamako iri ɗaya ga ɗan adam ba, kuma ƙara iyakar tsawon rayuwa a cikin ƙungiyar dabbobi ba iri ɗaya bane da ƙara matsakaicin tsawon rayuwar dukkan al'ummar ɗan adam.

Matsayin Anthropic kanta

A wata hira da Le Monde (Yuli 2026), shugabar Anthropic, Daniela Amodei ('yar'uwar Dario), ta fayyace mahallin waɗannan maganganu. Ta jaddada cewa abin da ake magana a kai shi ne yiwuwar hanzarta binciken kimiyya, ba "magani na tsufa" da aka tabbatar ba.

A cewarta, manufa mafi inganci kuma ta gaskiya na shekaru masu zuwa ita ce amfani da AI don taimaka wa mutane masu cututtukan zuciya da jijiyoyin jini, ciwo na tsawon lokaci, da sauran matsalolin da ke shafar ingancin rayuwa kai tsaye, maimakon kawai tsawon lokacin rayuwa.

Taƙaitawa

Hasashen Dario Amodei na rayuwa har shekaru 150 ya kasance hasashe mai ƙarfi, ba gaskiyar kimiyya ba. AI na zama kayan aiki mai ƙarfi a hannun masana ilimin halittu, wanda zai iya hanzarta neman sabbin hanyoyin magani da kuma nazarin bayanan likitance.

Duk da haka, yin tsalle daga tsare-tsaren lissafi zuwa hanyoyin magani masu aminci ga ɗan adam yana buƙatar lokaci, kuɗi, kuma musamman, shaida kan inganci. Kafin AI ya iya "matsa" karni na binciken likitance zuwa shekaru goma ɗaya, kimiyya dole ne ta shawo kan manyan cikas a fahimtar halittar ɗan adam.