Bankin Duniya ya yi hasashen rikicin ayyukan yi na duniya tare da karancin ayyukan yi miliyan 800 a cikin shekaru 15 mas

A ranar 16 ga Oktoba, 2026, a taron shekara-shekara na IMF da Bankin Duniya a Bangkok, shugaban ƙungiyar, Ajay Banga, ya bayyana lambobi masu ban tsoro amma an bayyana su sosai. A cikin shekaru 10–15 masu zuwa, kimanin miliyoyin matasa biliyan 1.2 za su shiga kasuwar aiki a ƙasashe masu tasowa. A ƙarƙashin halayen tattalin arziki na yanzu, ayyukan yi miliyan 400–420 kawai za a kirkira.

Wannan lissafin yana haifar da karancin ayyukan yi da aka ƙiyasta na miliyan 780–800. Yana da mahimmanci a fahimci: wannan ba hasashen rashin aikin yi na tabbatacce ba ne ga mutane miliyan 800. Wasu matasa za su ci gaba da karatu ko su kasance marasa aikin tattalin arziki. Duk da haka, girman wannan karancin al'umma na haifar da matsin lamba ba a taba ganin irinsa ba a kan tattalin arzikin duniya.

Cibiyar rikicin: lambobin yanki

Afirka za ta sha babban bugun, sannan ta biyo baya ta Asiya ta Kudu da yankin Gabas ta Tsakiya da Arewacin Afirka (MENA).

• Afirka (dukkan nahiyar): a cikin shekaru goma masu zuwa, matasa miliyan 320 za su kai shekarun aiki, amma ayyukan yi kusan miliyan 30 kawai za a kirkira.
• Afirka ta Kudu da Sahara: mutane miliyan 12 suna shiga kasuwar aiki kowace shekara, duk da haka ayyukan yi na hukuma guda 3 miliyan kuma ke bayyana. A shekarar 2035, wannan yanki zai kasance gida ga matasa sama da miliyan 330 masu shekaru 15–24.
• Hasashen duniya zuwa 2050: Afirka ta Kudu da Sahara za ta lissafa sama da kashi 75% na karuwar yawan jama'a a duniya a cikin shekarun aiki (kimanin mutane miliyan 625).

Abin da karancin miliyan 800 ke barazana

Bankin Duniya ya jaddada manyan haɗarurruka guda huɗu da ke ƙaruwa da juna:

• Matsalar talauci. Rashin samun kudin shiga mai dorewa yana hana ikon biyan gidaje, ilimi, da kafa iyalai, wanda ke hana gaba ɗaya rage talauci.
• Matsin lamba na ƙaura. Karancin damar tattalin arziki yana ƙarfafawa kai tsaye ƙaura ta cikin gida da ta ƙasa da ƙasa ba bisa ƙa'ida ba.
• Rashin kwanciyar hankali na siyasa. Taro na matasa ba tare da hanyoyin ganuwa na cimma burinsu ba suna zama abin ƙarfafawa ga rashin jin daɗin jama'a da raunana cibiyoyin gwamnati.
• Asarar GDP. Rashin amfani da ƙarfin aiki yana nufin asarar kudin shiga, haraji, da hana girman kasuwanci.

Shirin aiki

Bankin Duniya ya jaddada: matsalar ba ta cikin mutane kanta ba (tsararrun matasa na yanzu sun fi na baya karatu), amma a cikin rashin yanayi don kasuwanci. Dabaru ta warwarewa tana dogaro ne akan hanyoyi guda uku:

1. Ababen more rayuwa da babban jarin ɗan adam. Makamashi, dabaru, sadarwar dijital, da horar da sana'a a matsayin tushen kowace samarwa.
2. Yanayin kasuwanci mai hasashen gaba. Rage shingen gudanarwa da tabbatar da sarrafawa mai bayyane don rage haɗarin masu saka hannun jari.
3. Tattara babban jari na sirri. Amfani da garantin da hanyoyin haɗin gwiwar jama'a da masu zaman kansu don ba da kuɗi ga manyan ayyuka.

An ambaci sassan kasuwanci guda biyar a matsayin manyan masu tafiyar da ayyukan yi: ababen more rayuwa da makamashi, kasuwancin noma, kiwon lafiya, yawon buɗe ido, da masana'antar sarrafawa mai ƙarin daraja.

Shirye-shiryen Majalisar Dinkin Duniya

A ranar 13 ga Oktoba, 2026, Shirin Ci gaban Majalisar Dinkin Duniya (UNDP), a haɗin gwiwa da Bankin Duniya, ya ƙaddamar da kayan aiki guda biyu: Investment Accelerator (taimaka wa gwamnatoci shirya ayyukan saka hannun jari) da Jobs for Prosperity Facility (daidaita ƙwarewar matasa da buƙatun kasuwa). Ayyukan gwaji sun riga sun fara a Nepal, Yemen, Haiti, Lebanon, da Ghana.

Kammalawa: Lambar miliyan 800 ba hukunci bane, amma gargadi ne. Raguwar al'umma na iya zama mafi ƙarfin injin girma na duniya, amma kawai idan an hanzarta ƙirƙirar ayyukan yi a yau.