Yaƙin sararin samaniya na iya faruwa a cikin shekaru biyar masu zuwa: Abin da muka sani game da shirye-shiryen Amurka, C

14 ga Satumba, 2026, Sakataren Sojan Sama na Amurka Troy Meink ya ba da sanarwa mai tarihi: Rundunar Sararin Samaniya ta Amurka ta riga ta tura kayan aikin sarrafa sararin samaniya a cikin kewayawa don karewa daga ayyukan gaba. Wannan ikrarin, tare da sabon dabarun sararin samaniya na Burtaniya a watan guda tare da kasafin kudi na fam miliyan 880, ya canza tattaunawa game da "yaƙin sararin samaniya" daga almara na kimiyya zuwa fagen ainihin ka'idar soji.

Duk da haka, hasashen rikici mai cikakken girma a cikin shekaru biyar yana buƙatar ƙarin bayani. Ba muna magana game da yaƙe-yaƙe irin na Hollywood ba, amma maimakon haka, cikakken kashe ikon kayan aikin tauraron dan adam.

Makaman Amurka Sun Rigaya Suna Cikin Kewayawa

Sanarwar Pentagon ta zama wani muhimmin juyi. Ba kamar tsarin yaƙin lantarki na ƙasa da aka sani a baya ba (kamar Tsarin Yaki da Sadarwa, wanda ke aiki tun 2020), waɗannan sabbin kayan aikin suna kai tsaye a sararin samaniya.

Cikakkun bayanai sun kasance a asirce: ba a san ko waɗannan tsarin suna da na'urorin tsagaita motsi, makaman makamashi mai daidaitawa, ko dandamali don tsoma baki ta yanar gizo ba. Duk da haka, kawai gaskiyar tura su yana nuna cewa Amurka ta koma daga kariya mai rauni zuwa sarrafa sararin samaniya mai aiki.

Burtaniya Tana Gina Garkuwa Mai Darajar Fam Miliyan 880

Landan ba ta ƙirƙirar makaman sararin samaniya na kai hari ba amma tana gina "garkuwar sararin samaniya" da ƙwazo. A ƙarƙashin sabuwar dabarar 2026-2030, an kashe fam miliyan 880 don bincike da sarrafa sararin samaniya. Muhimman abubuwan sun haɗa da:

• Noctis-1: Karatun gani na soji don bin diddigin abubuwa a sararin samaniya da hana karo.
• Borealis: Dandamalin software na CGI UK (kwangilar fam miliyan 65) wanda ke tattara bayanai don binciken barazana. An kawo tsarin kan layi watanni shida kafin lokaci.
• eLoran: Tsarin kewayawa na ƙasa (kwangilar fam miliyan 6 tare da Team Elaris) wanda aka ƙirƙira a matsayin ajiya idan aka toshe siginar GPS/GLONASS.

China da Rasha a Tseren Makaman Sararin Samaniya

China tana yin imani da fasahar amfani guda biyu. A cikin 2025-2026, an rubuta nasarar haɗuwa da manevorin ɗauri na jerin tauraron dan adam na "Shijian" don cike mai da bincike. Hannun robot ɗaya da ke ba da sabis ga tauraron dan adam ɗinsa na iya kashe na waje ba tare da ƙirƙirar gajimaren tarkace ba.

Rasha tana da ikon motsi da aka tabbatar. Gwajin tsarin "Nudol" na Nuwamba 2021, wanda ya lalata tauraron dan adam na "Cosmos-1408", ya tabbatar da ikon buga maƙasudi a cikin ƙananan kewayawar duniya. Bugu da ƙari, al'ummar leken asiri ta Amurka ta ci gaba da rarraba haɓaka makaman anti-satellite na nukiliya na Rasha a matsayin barazana mai mahimmanci a cikin rahotanninta na 2026, duk da ƙin yarda na hukuma daga Moscow.

Yadda Yaƙin Sararin Samaniya Yake A Zahiri

Rikicin ba zai fara da fashewa ba, amma tare da hare-hare "marasa ganuwa" waɗanda ke shanyewa tattalin arziki da sojin abokan gaba a duniya:

• Yaƙin lantarki: Toshe siginar sadarwa da kewayawa (wanda aka riga aka yi amfani da shi akai-akai a yankunan rikici na zamani).
• Hare-haren yanar gizo: Hacking tashoshin sarrafawa na ƙasa don sacewa ko lalata tauraron dan adam.
• Makalewar na'ura: Yin amfani da lasar ƙasa mai ƙarancin ƙarfi don lalata gani na tauraron dan adam na bincike.
• Matsalar tarkace: Duk wani lalataccen motsi yana ƙirƙirar ɗaruruwan guntu. Bisa ga Gidauniyar Duniya Mai Tsaro, gwaje-gwajen baya na Amurka, Rasha, China, da Indiya sun riga sun haifar da fiye da guntun tarkace 6,900, suna barazana ga duk kayan aikin kewayawa, ciki har da na farar hula.

Ramin Doka

Yarjejeniyar Sararin Samaniya ta 1967 ta hana sanya makaman lalatawa (nukiliya, da sauransu) kawai a cikin kewayawa. Tura makaman al'ada ko tsarin yaƙin lantarki ba ya karya wannan yarjejeniya a hukumance, yana ƙirƙirar wani mummunan ramin doka wanda manyan ƙasashe ke amfani da shi da ƙwazo.

Barazanar rikicin sararin samaniya ta kasance ainihi, amma tana da yanayi mai haɗe-haɗe. A cikin shekaru biyar masu zuwa, duniya ba za ta fuskanci bam ɗin kewayawa ba, amma ƙaruwar dabarun "yanki mai launin toka": toshe kewayawa, hare-haren yanar gizo na tauraron dan adam, da manevorin kusa mai tsanani. Tseren yanzu ba game da lalatawa ba ne, amma game da rayuwa da ikon dawo da kewayawar sararin samaniya da sauri.